So afraid of the suckout

2008 May 23
by badbeats

I have a fear.  Maybe even a phobia.  It keeps me up at night and I have a hard time breathing sometimes.  I fear the suckout.  I fear it so much that I’ve taken severe measures to try to avoid it, but alas it is no use.

Severe measures like my betting in the following hand.  I’m so afraid that someone will suckout against my set that I push everyone away.

Full Tilt Poker, $0.05/$0.10 NL Hold’em Cash Game, 7 Players
LeggoPoker.comHand History Converter

CO: $11.20

BTN: $11.10

SB: $10.10

BB: $9

UTG: $12.85

Hero (UTG+1): $8.70

MP: $15.25

Pre-Flop: 3 A dealt to Hero (UTG+1)

UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.30, MP folds, CO calls $0.30, BTN folds, SB calls $0.25, BB folds

Flop: ($1) 9 3 3 (3 Players)

SB checks, Hero bets $0.50, CO raises to $1, SB folds, Hero raises to $2, CO calls $1

Turn: ($5) 2 (2 Players)
Hero bets $5, CO folds

Results: $5 Pot ($0.50 Rake)
Hero mucked 3 A and WON $4.50 (+$2.20 NET)

But then again, why shouldn’t I fear the suckout, when I see hands like this one (against a player I saw push top pair to the river multiple times.)  Please note my pot sized bet on the turn that said “don’t draw out on me, please, I have a very good hand, a made hand.  You can’t beat my hand unless you draw out on me and I bet you have 4 outs, so you should let that hand go.”  Also note that my call on the river was a crying call and I hated to make it, but I had to see it.

Full Tilt Poker, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold’em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.comHand History Converter

SB: $35.55

BB: $52.40

UTG: $14.15

MP: $31.50

Hero (CO): $24.65

BTN: $21

Pre-Flop: A A dealt to Hero (CO)

UTG calls $0.25, MP folds, Hero raises to $1, 3 folds, UTG calls $0.75

Flop: ($2.35) 7 3 6 (2 Players)

UTG checks, Hero bets $1.50, UTG calls $1.50

Turn: ($5.35) 8 (2 Players)

UTG checks, Hero bets $5, UTG calls $5

River: ($15.35) 5 (2 Players)
UTG bets $6.65 and is All-In, Hero calls $6.65

Results: $28.65 Pot ($1.40 Rake)
UTG showed 6 4 (a straight, Eight high) and WON $27.25 (+$13.10 NET)
Hero mucked A A (a pair of Aces) and LOST (-$14.15 NET)

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